Why Mortgage Rates Might Be Not As Rough As Folks Think

Dated: September 11 2025

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Mentioning "mortgage rates" often sparks a lot of opinions, as current rates are higher than those seen in 2020-2021. While headlines focus on “high” rates, they are not crazy high considering the average rate is approximately 7.71%, on a 30 year fixed mortgage, according to Freddie Mac data collected by The Mortgage Reports.  Stop the panic!  Yes, rates are higher, but that should not be what is stopping you from buying a house. 


What Are Rates Doing Right Now?

Here are some recent data points:

  • The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has dropped to around 6.5%, the lowest since last October. AP News
  • Some lenders are showing rates on a 30-year fixed rate closer to 6.39%. Bankrate

While rates are not in the 2’s and 3’s like they were in 2020-2021, they are off their recent peaks and are declining in many market segments. This gives some breathing room.


Why It’s Not All Doom & Gloom

Here are factors people sometimes overlook:

  1. Perspective Change
    Rates around 6-7% are still high compared to “historical lows,” but compared to earlier decades (or even earlier this year), they aren’t astronomically bad. Many people buying during boom times assumed they could get 2-3%, but those days have gone and probably will never come back.
  2. Falling Trend Helps
    The fact that rates are trending downward means buyers/refinancers might be closer to a “good deal” than many realize. If upcoming economic data continues to soften, there’s possibility of further decline.
  3. Lots of Options

o   Comparison of loan terms (15-year vs. 30-year): Loans with shorter terms generally offer lower interest rates. While a 15-year mortgage may not be suitable for all borrowers, those who are able to meet the financial requirements can typically secure rates in the upper 5% range.  

    • FHA and VA loans can offer even lower rates due to being government loans

· FHA loans make it easier for buyers with lower credit or limited savings to achieve homeownership.

· VA loans offer unmatched affordability and flexibility for those who have served our country.

    • Credit score, down payment, loan size etc. all still help you get “better than average” offers.
    • Lenders Offering Reduced Refinance Options, Certain lenders provide borrowers with lowered or discounted refinancing opportunities that may extend for up to three years following the closing date. This enables clients to refinance at a reduced cost should interest rates decline during this period.
    •  2-1 buydown is a financing option currently offered by some lenders, enabling buyers to benefit from reduced mortgage payments during the initial two years of their loan. When combined with a favorable refinance, this approach can provide buyers with increased flexibility and potentially greater purchasing power. You must qualify for the higher interest rate, it just give you a lower payment for the first 2 years. 
  1. Negotiation & Lock-in Strategies
    Working with a lender, preparing your financial profile, having cash reserves, etc., can all contribute to getting a more favorable rate. Knowing when to lock in is also important.

Things to Be Aware Of

It’s not perfect. Some real challenges remain:

  • Home prices are still high, so even “reasonable” mortgage payments may stretch budgets.
  • Qualification criteria (credit score, debt-to-income ratio, down payment) still matter a lot. Not everyone will get the lowest published rate.
  • Rates can still be volatile, depending on inflation, Treasury yields, Federal Reserve policy, etc.

Bottom Line

If you’re in the market to buy or refinance, now is not a terrible time, it is not all the doom and gloom that the media is making it out to be.  Rates are coming down from recent highs, and with the right financial profile and strategy, you could lock in something that feels much more manageable than you might fear. It's not going back to the rock-bottom era of a few years ago, but it's not a disaster.


Where to Get Personalized Help

If you want someone local, knowledgeable, and responsive, you can reach out to Jason Shoe, VP of Mortgage Lending at Guaranteed Rate Affinity, licensed in Ohio and Kentucky. He can help evaluate your options — purchase, refinance, different term lengths, down payment strategies — and help you understand what rate you might actually qualify for.  You can also check out his website for daily rate updates. 

You can find more about Jason and Guaranteed Rate Affinity here: Jason Shoe – Guaranteed Rate Affinity

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Kellie Barter

Locally Grown, Community FocusedI’m a true eastside Cincinnati girl—born, raised, and still proud to call this area home. Most of my childhood was spent in Loveland, where I graduated from....

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